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- Drivers & vehicle operators: skills opportunities and challenges (2019 update)
Drivers & vehicle operators: skills opportunities and challenges (2019 update)
Summary
Drivers and mobile plant operators drive and tend trains and motor vehicles; drive, operate and monitor industrial and agricultural machinery and equipment; or execute deck duties on board ships and other water-borne crafts.
Key facts:
- Around 9 million people were employed as drivers or vehicle operators in 2018. 75% of their jobs is in transportation, manufacturing and wholesale and retail trade sectors.
- Employment in the occupation remained stable between 2006 and 2018.
- Little employment change is expected over the period 2018 to 2030. The entire employment demand – an estimated 5 million between 2018 and 2030 – will be driven by the need to replace workers who will leave the occupation for one reason or another.
- There is a strong gender imbalance in the workforce, in favour of male employees.
- The occupational group faces fairly widespread recruitment difficulties, due to hardships of the nature of jobs, regarding working hours and pay levels.
- The key 3 workplace tasks and skills of drivers and mobile plant operators are routine, creativity and resolution and autonomy.
Tasks and skills
Drivers and mobile plant operators 1 drive and tend trains and motor vehicles; drive, operate and monitor industrial and agricultural machinery and equipment; or execute deck duties on board ships and other water-borne crafts. The main subgroups are: locomotive engine drivers and related workers; car, van and motorcycle drivers; heavy truck and bus drivers; mobile plant operators; and ships' deck crews and related workers.
There is a strong gender imbalance in the workforce, in favour of male employees. The occupational group faces fairly widespread recruitment difficulties, due to hardships of the nature of jobs, regarding working hours worked and pay levels (for example, heavy truck and bus drivers 2).
The key 3 workplace tasks and skills of drivers and vehicle operators are routine, creativity and resolution and autonomy.
Figure 1: Importance of tasks of drivers and mobile plant operators
Note: The importance of tasks and skills is measured on 0-1 scale, where 0 means least important and 1 means most important.
What are the trends for the future? 4
Overall, the employment level of drivers and vehicle operators across sectors is expected to remain stable between 2018 and 2030. European countries will experience different employment trends for drivers and vehicle operators: more new jobs will be created in 12 countries, while in other 16 the employment of drivers and vehicle operators is projected to decline.
Figure 2: Future employment growth of drivers and mobile plant operators in European countries (2018-2030, in %)
The demand for drivers and mobile plant operators will be pushed forward by replacement needs. Over the period 2018-2030 an estimated 5.2 million people are projected to leave the occupation for one reason or another such as retirement 5. More information about this occupation can be found here.
Figure 3: Future job openings of drivers and vehicle operators (2018-2030)
Regarding their education level, around two thirds of drivers and vehicle operators held medium-level qualifications in 2018, and this is not projected to change in the period 2018 to 2030. During the same period the share of highly qualified workers is expected to grow from around 8 to 15 per cent of total employment. The percentage of low qualified workers in the occupation is projected to fall.
The highest share of driver and vehicle operators is found in the transport sector (54%), with other sizable percentages found in manufacturing (11%), and wholesale and retail (10%). Looking to the future, the shares of employment in the driver and vehicle operator occupation accounted for by these sectors will remain more or less unchanged.
Which drivers of change will affect their skills?
Drivers and vehicle operators are a homogeneous group, differentiated mainly by the vehicle they use (such as vehicles for road transport, trains, industrial, agricultural or ship machinery). Rapid technological, societal and economic changes are expected to affect the nature of their job tasks, and therefore the skills needed.
- Advances in technology, in terms of new tools and software and automation/robots will affect all sub-occupations in this group from different angles:
- plant operators and those handling machines (such as drivers working in warehousing, forestry or construction) will increasingly be challenged by more advanced/computer-controlled machines and vehicles. Knowledge of and familiarity with new technologies and advanced machines will be critical, as automation increasingly infiltrates warehousing.
- Technological advancements in land transport have already affected commercial transportation; for example, taxi drivers have adopted GPS devices and mobile applications that improve the client’s experience. Automation of vehicles (e.g. railway brake, signal and switch operators) have already limited the role of some drivers. Although they are still at planning phase, car automation is expected to grow in the future, substantially changing the experience, role and hence skills of drivers.
However, more developments are underway, expected to revolutionise transport and mobility: for example, the ‘platooning in mobility’ will change the role of drivers. Truck platooning regards “a number of trucks equipped with state-of-the-art driving support systems – one closely following the other. This forms a platoon with the trucks driven by smart technology, and mutually communicating.” 6 Platooning is expected to improve traffic safety, regulate traffic flows, and reduce fuel consumption through constant speed cruise 7. Truck drivers will therefore need new skills relevant to engineering and IT to be able to drive these “smart trucks”.
- The strong rise in demand for environmentally sustainable mobility will emphasize the importance of green skills. Implications for the role of drivers and vehicle operators can be expected both in terms of the type of vehicles/machines they use and how efficiently they use them 8. Accelerating the shift to sustainable and smart mobility is one of the goals of the Commission Communication European Green Deal , foreseeing the 90% reduction in transport emissions to achieve climate neutrality by 2050. The greater shift to cleaner forms of fuels and low-emission vehicles can be expected to change the map and the overall modus operandi in transport, and so the skills profiles of drivers. 2021 will be ‘European Year of Rail’, having as an objective the promotion of rail transport and its alignment with the objectives of the European Green Deal.
- The political agenda can be expected to influence trends in employment. For example, commercial vehicle drivers are now required to monitor their driving skills and drive more efficiently. The demand for bus and train drivers could increase as a consequence of efforts to promote and encourage the use of public transport to lower emissions 9.
The Italian National Association for Travellers’ Drivers (ANAV) and the Italian Association of Local Public Transportation Companies (ASSTRA) started cooperating in 2013 and launched the Driving Style Academy, which provides classes for professional drivers to cope with the new standards and requirements relating to ‘green’ mobility. The training includes both theoretical classes and on-the-road training, and aims at teaching a low-emissions driving style (so-called Eco-Drive), that would benefit the life of citizens, especially in urban areas.
Source: http://www.anav.it/public/DSA/Driving%20Style%20Academy%20redazionale%20per%20ANAV.pdf
- As a part of its Ditigitalization and future of work project, Cedefop estimates the risks of automation for occupations. The most exposed occupations are those with significant share of tasks that can be automated – operation of specialised technical equipment, routine or non-autonomous tasks – and those with a small reliance on communication, collaboration, critical thinking and customer-serving skills. The risk of automation is further accentuated in those (occupations) in which people report they have little access to professional training that could help them to cope with labour market changes. Drivers & vehicle operators belong to occupations where the automation risk is very high.
How can these skill needs be met?
Most drivers and vehicle operator’s work in sectors where new business models are being shaped due to technological change, focus on environmental challenges and regulation. Due to these new paradigms, job tasks are expected to increasingly depend on more ICT-based and specialised equipment and products, especially for those working in the land transport sector. Future jobs will therefore require new and more advanced skills in engineering and ICT, as well as understanding and handling of specific software and basic understanding of new technological advancements such as automated cars and platooning.
Simultaneously, the growing interdisciplinary elements of transport activities (such as combining new technological tools with safety rules) will also require these professionals to develop or adjust their skills to safety rules in a more automated workplace. An update of outdated ICT and sector-specific technology knowledge is therefore necessary, especially targeting older workers.
Despite automation, team working, customer service and interpersonal skills will continue to be integral to all jobs, especially for those working in warehouses, plants, construction sites etc. Foreign language capacities will also be important for constructing a more competitive skill profile in a globalised market. Training plant operators to new machines or software should also consistently cover safety issues that will continue to be relevant even in more automated workspaces, to minimise accident risks and ensure compliance to local or EU regulations.
Notably, some of mobile plant operators who operate and monitor industrial machinery and equipment will see some of their job tasks being particularly vulnerable to replacement by automation. Skills will follow tasks in shifting significantly to ‘smart’ machine handling, programming and maintaining. Increased complexity in warehousing/logistics jobs is expected to increase the demand for high qualifications and strong(er) technical, engineering, and mathematical skills. Dedicated and recurring training could satisfy these skill needs.
References
All web-links were last accessed December 2nd, 2019.
[1] Defined as ISCO 08 groups 83 Drivers and mobile plant operators. ILO (2012) International Standard Classification of Occupations ISCO-08.
[2] Hege, A, Perko, M, Johnson, A, Ch, Yu, Sönmez, S, & Apostolopoulos, Y, 2015 ‘Surveying the impact of work hours and schedules on commercial motor vehicle driver sleep’. Safety and health at work. 6(2):104-113. Available at https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2093791115000104 and https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4476188/ Viewed 5 March 2020.
[4] All figures from 2018 Cedefop forecast except where stated otherwise.
[5] The need to replace workers leaving a profession for various reasons, such as retirement. More information on replacement demand and how it drives employment across sectors can be found here.
[6] European Truck Platooning, What is truck platooning? viewed 16 June 2016.
[7] ibid.
[8] International Labour Organization 2012, Working towards sustainable development, Geneva: ILO, 2012
[9] Cedefop 2009, Future skill needs for the green economy, Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union
[10] National Careers Service 2014, Construction plant operator, viewed 25 May 2016.
Data insights details
Table of contents
Page 1
SummaryPage 2
Key facts:Page 3
Tasks and skillsPage 4
What are the trends for the future? 4Page 5
Which drivers of change will affect their skills?Page 6
How can these skill needs be met?Page 7
References