The detailed data are for advanced users and experts in skills and labour market analysis.
Accessing and using the detailed data will allow you, for example, to:
- Work with detailed disaggregations by sector, occupation, year, etc.
- Select more countries in one output table
- Run different queries including sector/occupation/qualification outputs
- Display not only absolute numbers but also different shares and growth rates
- Export your selection to different output formats for your further needs
Cautionary notice
The data and results available in this on-line tool are intended to provide general indications of patterns and trends in skill supply and demand (measured by occupation and qualification) across the whole of Europe. They are based on robust quantitative methodology, using a combination of National Accounts, Labour Force Survey (LFS) and other relevant data. This tool will be updated every year in spring.
The employment data use a different definition to the labour supply data. The employment data (National Accounts) are on a workplace basis, and can include double jobbing and cross-border commuting, while the labour supply data (Labour Force Survey) are on a residence basis. Due to these definitional differences, the employment forecast is not constrained by the forecast for labour force. There can therefore be instances where the forecast for employment in a Member State is higher than the forecast for total labour supply, especially in the longer term. This would indicate that there could be risks to the economic growth forecast not being achieved due to lack of labour supply at the Member State level.
The detailed estimates are subject to possibly large and uncertain margins of error. They should not be taken literally but suggestive of indicative trends and patterns. As a rough rule of thumb, any cell containing fewer than 10,000 people should be regarded with caution.
The detailed occupational estimates are based on data from the European LFS, often covering just a few years. These have been used to forecast the shares to 2030. For historical years the LFS share, or the share in the first LFS year available, is used. In some cases, the small sample sizes mean that individual cells of the data arrays (by country, industry and occupation) are empty or contain unreliable data. This can distort pictures of change over time. Various criteria have been used to check the estimates and to try to avoid implausible projections.
In total, the data set across all countries includes a very large number of individual time series. Not every one of these have been checked and validated by the research team. There is a continuing need for caution in the use of these estimates and for scrutiny and further input by individual country experts.
Comments and queries are welcome. In the first instance these should be directed to Cedefop Skills Forecast team skills-forecast@cedefop.europa.eu.
Please note that Cedefop might contact you in the future with questions on improvement and further development of this online tool.
Reference/source to be always used: Cedefop, 2018 Skills forecasts (or more recent depending on the update of the database).
