Rapid changes in the world of work are impacting both long- and short-term trends in the European labour market. The transition to a green and digital economy, the growing adoption of digital and technological innovations, and the consequences of geo-political crises affect skill needs and labour market trends, even in the short term. These shifts challenge EU priorities on competitiveness, growth, sustainability, and inclusion.
To stay ahead of these changes and their impact on skill provision and labour market developments, effective and responsive skills anticipation is crucial. While significant progress has been made in understanding medium to long-term trends, there is a growing need for tools that can promptly capture short-term shifts in the labour market.
Cedefop’s new tool for short-term anticipation of skills trends and VET demand (STAS) addresses this need by producing regular, 6-monthly projections of employment by occupation across the 27 EU Member States. These short-term projections provide timely insights into emerging labour market trends and evolving skill needs.
Aimed at policy makers, social partners, and VET experts and practitioners, STAS projections supports the planning and implementation of VET policies, VET offers and curricula, and active labour market policies. By capturing the dynamic nature of the labour market more effectively, the tool acts as an early-warning system for emerging skill shortages, gaps, and needs, offering a strategic advantage in adapting to short-term changes.
The new tool addresses key recommendations highlighted in Draghi’s report on European competitiveness, which stresses that "the EU should overhaul its approach to skills, making it more strategic, future-oriented and focused on emerging skill shortages”. The report further calls on the EU and Member States to:
- enhance their use of skills intelligence by making much more intense use of data to understand and act on existing skills gaps, and
- ensure that education and training systems become more responsive to the evolving skill needs and skill gaps identified by skills intelligence.
At the core of its mission, Cedefop’s focus on next-generation labour market and skills intelligence (LMSI) for Europe aims to future-proof VET and up- and reskilling initiatives, aligning with the European Digital Agenda and the European Green Deal.
STAS complements Cedefop’s existing suite of tools for skills intelligence, medium-long term skills forecast, and online job advertisement analysis.
Video recording
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Agenda
Times are indicated in CET.
| 10.00–10.10 | Welcome and introduction by Antonio Ranieri, Head of Department for VET and Skills, Cedefop |
| 10.10–10.30 | Short-Term Anticipation of Skill Trends and VET demands: methodology and key insights from the latest projections Madalina Suta, Cambridge Econometrics Belgium |
| 10.30–11.20 | Panel discussion moderated by Pier Paolo Angelini, Cedefop expert Addressing tomorrow's challenges today: the policy relevance of short-term anticipation of skills and labour market trends
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| 11.20–11.30 | Concluding remarks by Jasper Van Loo, coordinator of Department for VET and Skills, Cedefop |
Speakers
Event details
Downloads
Presentation "Addressing tomorrow's challenges today: the policy relevance of short-term anticipation of skills and labour market trends" (Irene Mandl)
Presentation "Short-Term Anticipation of Skill Trends and VET demands: methodology and key insights from the latest projections" (Madalina Suta)
Presentation "Policy relevance of short-term skills anticipation - An international perspective" (Takaaki Kizu)
