Rapid changes in the world of work are impacting both long- and short-term trends in the European labour market. The transition to a green and digital economy, the growing adoption of digital and technological innovations, and the consequences of geo-political crises affect skill needs and labour market trends, even in the short term. These shifts challenge EU priorities on competitiveness, growth, sustainability, and inclusion.

To stay ahead of these changes and their impact on skill provision and labour market developments, effective and responsive skills anticipation is crucial. While significant progress has been made in understanding medium to long-term trends, there is a growing need for tools that can promptly capture short-term shifts in the labour market.

Cedefop’s new tool for short-term anticipation of skills trends and VET demand (STAS)  addresses this need by producing regular, 6-monthly projections of employment by occupation across the 27 EU Member States. These short-term projections provide timely insights into emerging labour market trends and evolving skill needs.

Aimed at policy makers, social partners, and VET experts and practitioners, STAS projections supports the planning and implementation of VET policies, VET offers and curricula, and active labour market policies. By capturing the dynamic nature of the labour market more effectively, the tool acts as an early-warning system for emerging skill shortages, gaps, and needs, offering a strategic advantage in adapting to short-term changes.

The new tool addresses key recommendations highlighted in Draghi’s report on European competitiveness, which stresses that "the EU should overhaul its approach to skills, making it more strategic, future-oriented and focused on emerging skill shortages”. The report further calls on the EU and Member States to:

  • enhance their use of skills intelligence by making much more intense use of data to understand and act on existing skills gaps, and
  • ensure that education and training systems become more responsive to the evolving skill needs and skill gaps identified by skills intelligence.

At the core of its mission, Cedefop’s focus on next-generation labour market and skills intelligence (LMSI) for Europe aims to future-proof VET and up- and reskilling initiatives, aligning with the European Digital Agenda and the European Green Deal.  
STAS complements Cedefop’s existing suite of tools for skills intelligencemedium-long term skills forecast, and online job advertisement analysis.

 

Video recording

The video recording of the event can be watched from here.
(By following the link, the YouTube privacy policy and cookies will apply)

 

Agenda

Times are indicated in CET.

10.00–10.10Welcome and introduction by Antonio Ranieri, Head of Department for VET and Skills, Cedefop
10.10–10.30Short-Term Anticipation of Skill Trends and VET demands: methodology and key insights from the latest projections
Madalina Suta, Cambridge Econometrics Belgium
10.30–11.20

Panel discussion moderated by Pier Paolo Angelini, Cedefop expert

Addressing tomorrow's challenges today: the policy relevance of short-term anticipation of skills and labour market trends

  • Michael Horgan, European Commission, Jobs and Skills (EMPL.B.3)
  • Irene Mandl, European Labour Authority, Information and EURES Unit
  • Takaaki Kizu, International Labour Organization, Skills and Employability
11.20–11.30Concluding remarks by Jasper Van Loo, coordinator of Department for VET and Skills, Cedefop

 

Speakers

Image
speaker-photo-antonio-ranieri-400x.jpg.jpg
Antonio Ranieri
Head of Department for VET and Skills at Cedefop

Antonio Ranieri manages a team of European experts investigating skills trends and changes in the worlds of work and support the development and implementation of the Union policy in the field of vocational education and training. The Department work encompasses a wide range of research and policy analysis in two Cedefop strategic areas of operation, namely skills and labour market and learning and employability.

An economist by training, Antonio has taught regional economics at the University of Rome since 2002. He also lectured at the National High School of Public Administration on cost-benefit analysis and public expenditure.

Prior to joining Cedefop, in 2010, he was Head of Research and Studies at the public services authority of the Municipality of Rome. Until 2007, he was Head of Area at CLES, an independent centre of studies on labour market and economic development based in Rome.

In this capacity, he coordinated a number of key projects of the organization, including monitoring and evaluation of large-scale EU funded programmes, research projects on the green economy, job and enterprise-creation, labour market analysis and skills development.

Image
jasper_van_loo_300_400.jpg
Jasper Van Loo

Jasper Van Loo is coordinator of Cedefop’s department for VET and Skills.

He currently coordinates the labour market and skills analysis work of the agency. He is also part of the team investigating EU skills trends using online job vacancies.

He has a master degree in quantitative and general economics and holds a Ph.d. in social sciences.

Image
pier_paolo_angelini1.jpg
Pier Paolo Angelini
Expert in VET for adults and apprenticeships

Pier Paolo Angelini is an expert in the Department for VET and Skills at Cedefop, currently engaged on projects and strands of work on short-term anticipation of skills, new European skills forecast, and VET for adults. As a methodologist by training, with four years of experience at Cedefop and a background in research and consulting for public and private national and international organizations, Pier Paolo leverages his expertise in quantitative and qualitative research methods to inform evidence-based policy decisions.

Image
portrait_cornelia_suta.jpg
Madalina Suta
Head of European and Global Economic and Social Policy, Cambridge Econometrics (Belgium)

Madalina is leading research in the Economic and Social Policy area at Cambridge Econometrics (Belgium). She is leading the the Cedefop Skill Forecast consortium and lead the team developing the STAS.

She holds undergraduate and postgraduate degrees in economics from the Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies, as well as a PhD in Agri-Environmental Economics from University of Kent.

Image
takaaki_kizu.jpg
Takaaki Kizu
Skills Development Officer

Takaaki Kizu is a Skills Development Officer at the International Labour Organization (ILO).

He is part of the Skills for the Future of Work team of the ILO SKILLS Branch, and currently coordinates the Branch’s work on scenario-based occupational projections and skills taxonomy.

He also contributes to the Branch’s work on sectoral approach to skills needs anticipation, and is a facilitator of skills foresight workshops, serving low- and middle-income countries.

Image
irene_mandl_002.jpg
Irene Mandl
Head of Unit “Information and EURES”, ELA

Irene Mandl joined ELA in September 2021 as the Head of Information and EURES Unit. She holds Master’s degrees in international business administration (with specialisation in marketing and organisational planning) and in business and law (with specialisation in HR management).

Before joining ELA, she worked in policy-oriented socioeconomic research in the fields of employment and labour market, as well as entrepreneurship and industry analysis. Most recently, she was Head of the research unit ‘Employment’ at the European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions where she was leading the cross-European research on labour market developments (including new forms of work and employment and the future of work, digitalisation, climate change, restructuring and related public policy approaches) and topics at the intersection of employment and entrepreneurship (such as job creation, workplace practices, small and medium-sized enterprises, business start-ups and scale-ups and internationalisation, including HR management in international businesses). 

Image
michael_horgan.jpg
Michael Horgan

Team Leader, Skills for the Twin Transition in the Unit for Vocational Education and Training, Cedefop.
Directorate General for Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion, European Commission

Within the unit for VET, Michael mainly works on supporting the development of skills for the digital and green transition, in the context of the key European Commission skills initiatives, such as the Skills Agenda, Digital Education Action plan and tools, such as the Digital Competence Framework and SELFIE (WBL). This also includes work on digitalisation of VET and provision of digital skills in VET, and increasingly on the impact and opportunities of AI on VET and skills. He has also been working on skills intelligence, how to build on work done by CEDEFOP and disseminating skills intelligence to relevant stakeholders. 

Event details

Event Date(s)
26/02/2025
Event Type
Virtual event
City
virtual
Country
Greece
Event venue
Online
Participation
Open event
Cedefop involvement
Organiser

Downloads

Presentation "Addressing tomorrow's challenges today: the policy relevance of short-term anticipation of skills and labour market trends" (Irene Mandl)

EN

Presentation "Short-Term Anticipation of Skill Trends and VET demands: methodology and key insights from the latest projections" (Madalina Suta)

EN

Presentation "Policy relevance of short-term skills anticipation - An international perspective" (Takaaki Kizu)

EN

Contacts

Contact
Pier Paolo Angelini
Expert in VET for adults and apprenticeships
Contact
Béatrice Herpin
Assistant